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Musings of a 1st & 2nd Amendment loving, big-government hating right-wing extremist

alpipkin.com - Musings of a 1st & 2nd Amendment loving, big-government hating right-wing extremist

Messaging, Semessaging … Find a Leader

I have not been able to bring myself to write anything of substance on the Romney/GOP loss last November, but reading and listening to some of the “messaging” from right-leaning “leaders” and media is changing that.

Hearing the British Airways flight attendant announce the winner of the US Presidential race that early morning just prior to landing in London was heartrending for me. Not because I was such a staunch Romney supporter (while I did come around to getting behind him, I was not in favor of him as the GOP candidate as I wrote here, herehere and elsewhere), but because I was sure that if Obama won reelection he would continue his destructive policies that would lead to the eventual abolition (literally) of our Constitutional Republic. These fears are being born out.

This past weekend I listened to several speakers at the National Review Summit. While a couple of them gave me a glimmer of hope that the GOP and the conservatives/tea party could start to come together, most either didn’t speak of a base reconciliation or gave hints that what was really needed was to rid the GOP of “those far-right wackos who can’t see the absolute requirement that the GOP move further to the ‘Center’ (read Democrat-Lite).”

However, the one bell many kept ringing was “we need to get better at ‘messaging’ … at learning how to reach out to those that we weren’t able to reach prior to last election.” Another was the need for improving technology tools and better use of social media. While it’s true that Obama won partly because of his campaign’s mastery of database technology, it is also true that many traditional GOP voters stayed home rather than vote for a technocrat without a unifying message. 100,000 voters in key states would have made the difference.

Romney is likely one of the most decent men to have run for the office of the President. I am sure he would have been a very capable President. But he was a manager; he knew how to manage people and things and finances. He also changed his positions on important issues, depending on who’s vote he was courting. Lastly, he didn’t inspire … he wasn’t a leader.

And without an ability to inspire voters who were on the fence or just not sure he could (would?) deliver on so many of his campaign promises, many voters just stayed home. And thereby giving the small victory to Obama.

The GOP doesn’t need new messages, new technology, nor new ways to benefit from social media in order to win. Would any of that help? Sure, any little bit helps, but don’t get distracted by shiny new things. What the GOP really needs is three important things: 1) LEADERSHIP and someone with a positive vision for the future of America to LEAD, 2) stop with bashing the conservative base of the party, and 3) stop trying to emulate the Democrats (Move Left Young Man, Move Left!).

A leader doesn’t have to know the details of every mundane policy fact, every minute geopolitical issue, or have every statistic on the American economy at his fingertip. But a leader does have to set an inclusive vision for the country which will raise the aspirations of the average citizen … at least those who actually want real liberty to regain a foothold, grow and thrive. I’m not implying that a leader doesn’t have to be competent; were that so … Obama!

Until 2008, America had never had a president as divisive as Obama. By his words and action he demonstrates that he is not president for all Americans (he isn’t my president … my president would never refer to the opposition as “the enemy“) and doesn’t demonstrate the qualities of leader of the American people. The GOP is either going to choose a real leader come 2016 or fade into the dustbin of history.

The second thing the GOP is going to have to do is quit tearing down people and groups in their base and those within the party who they disagree with (think Sarah Palin). It is amazing that many of those who participated in the Tea Party movement haven’t thrown up their hands in frustration and began a new conservative party. However, most are intelligent enough to recognize that such a move would be like cutting off their nose to spite their face. Just look at the Libertarian Party for goodness sake!

Regardless, if the GOP intelligentsia continues ripping their base they will soon become the Whig Party and what’s left of the conservative base will have to start a new party. Before we get that far, I am holding out hope that some of the rising stars recently sent to Washington … Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ron Johnson, Tim Scott, Mike Lee, Rand Paul … all in the Senate, and in the House there are too many to list here, but Trey Gowdy of South Carolina and Jason Chaffetz of Utah jump to my mind as representative of what’s available … are beginning to impact the old elephants trying to inhibit change.

And that brings us to my last point … why does the old GOP guard think the way to attract voters to the Right is to act more like the Left? Sunday Sen Corker (RINO-TN) gushed all over Hillary Clinton and her testimony before the Senate last week. McCain and his fellow RINO henchman Lindsey Graham are just buddy-buddies with Chuck Schumer over something McCain has panted over for years … Comprehensive Immigration Reform (#Shamnesty).

If the old guard wants to move further Left … let them all go join the Democrats! Good riddance!!!

Thinking Tactically about Twitter Followers – UPDATED

@ToddKincannon has done us conservatives on Twitter a world class service with his idea around the hashtag #TGDN (Twitter Gulag Defense Network). If you want to know the background on what #TGDN is all about, you can read Foolish Reporter’s excellent piece.

The strength behind this network is thousands of old and new Twitter users creating new links by following each other en mass. Fine as far as it goes, but Twitter has a few (okay, a bunch!) of rules that sometimes stand in the way of getting all the followers one wants. In addition to following to many to fast as mentioned in Foolish Reporter’s piece linked above, one must have at least (or around) 1,900 followers in order to follow more than 2,000 people.

Yesterday I began noticing tweets from many well wishers, pleading for more followers on behalf of people stuck at the 2,000 following level because of having only 1,200 or 1,300 followers. I also began to get direct messages from some I had followed a day or so before, letting me know that they were stuck at 2,000 following and would follow me back as soon as they broke through the barrier.

I myself was just over 1,600 followers and was following around 1,800. I also had over 200 not following back, some who I recently followed and just hadn’t yet followed me back and others who I’ve followed for a long time who will never follow back; mostly politicians, columnists, talk radio hosts or other personalities with tens of thousands of followers.

I began to realize if I didn’t start approaching the challenge of more followers tactically, I could get caught in what looks to becoming a Twitter gridlock (a twitlock?). So here’s what I came up with:

  • do not immediately start following as many people as you’re “allowed” each day until you’ve hit the magic 2k. I’m not sure what is a good ratio of followings to followers, but I’d guess keep them within 100 to 150 of each other.
  • once you are at 1,500/1,600 followers, be careful of who you follow from that point. Don’t follow someone who is at or close to the 2K limit if they only have 1,100 followers; they may not be able to follow back very soon. You can go back and follow them after you’re well past the 2K barrier.
  • think twice about following someone who has thousands of followers but only hundreds they are following; they might not follow you back.
  • I have had to unfollow some of the politicians/columnists/personalities to free up some head room for following people who will follow back. I can go back and follow them again later.
  • use one of the free Twitter support apps, such at Tweepi or  who unfollowed me to find out who’s unfollowed you lately (and routinely). I’ve had several people who I followed and they returned the follow only to later unfollow.

If anyone has any other ideas or tips, just leave them in the comments section or send me a tweet!

Updated 20130112 15:30:  The last couple of days has revealed a couple more tactics that should help get you past Twitlock (though while I’m well past 2400 following and 2200 followers, I still get put into a modified form which I’ll discuss later).

  • there seems to be quite a few folks that appear more interested in gaining followers than participating in a gulag defense network. Don’t follow anyone with a follow/follower ratio of less than 50%. (I’ve adopted a 25% standard unless the numbers are low [say 50/130]. Figure I can always come back later and see if they’ve gotten with the program.)
  • If I see someone has been tweeting within the last couple of hours and they haven’t followed back 300-400 followers, I pass on following.
  • once I passed my magic numbers (which BTW seen to be somewhere in the 1850-1865 range), I made a point to follow everyone on the TGDN 2K limit Help list created by @BatteredCitizen (thanks!). The sooner these people are past Twitlock, the sooner they can add their strength to our numbers.

Again, if anyone has any other ideas, add a comment below or Tweet me.

One last thought; don’t get intimidated by the seemingly millions of tweets streaming on your timeline. Start using lists to identify those people you may want to keep closer tabs on, and then focus more on those lists.

Random thought: if someone started reading this post and had no idea what Twitter was … they would leave thinking “what the he…. heck is this idiot talking about?”

Updated 20130123 07:55: Having had a number of people ask specifically about “what do I do if I’m already stuck at 2000 and only have 1400 followers.” here’s my best advice:

  • go to one of the Twitter apps mentioned above or sign up on JustUnfollow (I like this app because it shows you everyone’s total followers and follows) and click on “Non Followers” on the left menu. Sort the list by “oldest first” and start looking for those you followed who are not following you back … and aren’t also locked at 2000 themselves.
  • If someone has 500 followers and are following 300 (or any such combination of follows to followers), unfollow them! Chances are slim they will ever follow you back.
  • If you followed someone three weeks ago and they haven’t followed you back (and they aren’t stuck at 2000 following), they aren’t active tweeters; unfollow them. You can always go back later and follow anyone you unfollowed if you want.
  • Be more selective of those you follow after you’ve cleaned up your tarty follows. Only follow someone who has tweeted in the last couple of days. At this point, don’t follow anyone who follows 75% or less of his followers.

After you’ve reached around 1850 followers you’ll be able to begin following more (read a tweet that the actual number is 1821 but I have not confirmed). At that point, you now are locked by the 10% rule! You may only follow 10% more than follows you … are you glad?

Happy Tweeting!!!

Horror at Sandy Hook

The killing of all those children at Sandy Hook Elementary School last Friday elicited a level of horror and outrage beyond anything seen in decades. The age of most of the victims was the one thing that made this particular tragedy so much more horrific than the shootings at Fort Hood, Tuscon, VTech, Aurora and other recent mass shootings, even though there were children shot/killed in some of those instances.

Someone specifically targeting six and seven year old’s conveys an extraordinary level of evil. And that is exactly what the act was … evil. Acts of evil can only be preformed by a being with free will … a human. Animals cannot do evil, inanimate objects cannot do evil … only humans and it was one human that is responsible for the death and destruction in Newtown, Connecticut.

So what is the first thing our “Leaders” propose as a “solution?” Gun control! (scare quotes used on purpose)

Never mind those who inhabit the Fourth Estate have turned past killers into an apotheosis for those striving to make themselves even more renown. Never mind the thousands of people looking for help for their loved-ones suffering from mental illness who are told the only help is if their child/sibling/parent break the law.

And for heaven’s (read Washington DC) sake we shouldn’t discuss how removing religion from our schools, village squares and all other public places contributes to a coarsening of our society. No … gun control is what’s needed.

Connecticut has some of the strictest gun control laws in the nation, next to California and New York. However, not one of these laws were broken by the killer in order to arm himself for his evil deed. And there can be no law tough enough to have stopped him, because those who would do evil are not going to be deterred by a simple law.

Watch the video below for one of the most cogent arguments ever made as to why Americans should fight against those who would take our guns away. (h/t to David Breece)

This woman has captured in five minutes the entire argument against more gun control. Those who demand more gun control are only interested in the “control” part of the equation, as the woman’s ending statement so clearly articulates.

Our Scolder-in-Chief  told us on Sunday evening that we can only raise our children “with the help of a nation.” The nation hasn’t helped anyone raise their children … ever! An example of a nation that helps raise its children is Yugoslavia. Our children are raised by families and by neighbors and by teachers.

He also blamed us for not “doing something to stop the violence.” In case you don’t speak Obamaese, that means more gun control.

Stop it! Don’t let the elites who are doing everything in their substantial power to control every aspect of our lives (ever hear of something called “Obamacare?”).

Benghazi, Elections and Priorities

Fox News has done yeoman’s work on uncovering what little facts are available to the public on what transpired beginning the night of September 11, 2012 in Benghazi, Libya. However, I am positive much more will be revealed which will ultimately confute the story President Obama and his administration have tried to peddle since the disaster.

I say disaster and not tragedy as the cause of the deaths of an American Ambassador and three other Americans were not the result of some natural calamity over which no one had control. The real and circumstantial evidence accumulated so far, coupled with statements from experts who know how such actions go down … from having been there and done that … point to a failed Administration.

It is doubtful that anything of earth-shattering substance will emerge before America “goes to the polls” on November 6. This means that many of those middle-of-the-road voters will not include Benghazigate into their deliberative process when selecting which candidate to vote for. That is a shame, because this single issue informs anyone able to view Obama with a modicum of objectivity that he is not capable of leading a horse, never mind the greatest nation the world has ever known.

News of the Obama administration’s failures with Benghazi will continue to dribble out, a few more people not already disgusted will become so, and then Obama will be tossed from the Presidency onto his ear next Tuesday evening. Unfortunately, he won’t be tossed resoundingly enough so a message is sent clearly that we American’s don’t abide cowards, scallywags and unprincipled hucksters.

I have much more to say on this, but unfortunately I’m under some tight deadlines on a project I’m on, so deeper thoughts will have to wait.

Romney by a Head

Over the last 90 days or so I have proclaimed in comments I’ve made to articles and blog posts that Mitt Romney would succeed in his quest for the President by at least six points and possibly more. In other similar pontifications I have said Romney will win over 330 electoral votes.

Replies to many of those comments were derisive or outright abusive, calling me deranged to think Romney could succeed by such a resounding degree in such a close race. It has been my belief all Spring and Summer that talk of such a close race has been based on the election fantasies of the Liberal Media and their polls were nothing but a reflection of those wet dreams.

I’ll stand by my protections by confirming them here. Further, I’ve included a projected electoral map showing which states I believe Romney will carry (red) vs. those who will stay with Obama (blue).

So I am now “on the record” for all to see.

Unfortunately I will be somewhere over the Atlantic when the results are announced sometime on the evening of Nov 6, so most of you will know before I do how close I actually come.

A New Entry in the October Surprise Category UPDATED

One of the ways I keep current on military issues besides reading military blogs like Danger Room and articles from folks like Michael Yon, Frank Gaffney, Max Boot and others. Our local high-power AM radio station is KFI-640 and they have a weekly program called “Dark Secret Place.” The program is hosted by Bryan Suits, an Army reservist with combat chops (and a Purple Heart to prove it) in Iraq (both wars) and a “Peace-Keeping” stint in Bosnia.

During last night’s program Bryan mentioned, without revealing sources or specifics, that there is a high-level highly secret operation, on the order of the Bin Laden raid, that has been called up and then postponed numerous times over the past year or so. He said the operation has a similar profile as the Bin Laden mission but with a different goal and would result in a “very happy ending.”

The frightening part of the story is that the mission is now being planned for late October, right before the November election. I would not put anything outside the realm of possibility when it comes to the Obama regime’s ability and willingness to do anything … ANYTHING … to get reelected, including using our military (anyone recall Wag the Dog?).

With the debacle currently unfolding in Libya, Egypt, Yemen, Pakistan and elsewhere in the Muslim world, it is especially important for Obama to regain his foreign policy bona fides, à la “I killed Osama Bin Laden.”

I have let my mind wander, trying to come up with some type of special forces operation that would result in a “very happy ending” (assuming one doesn’t perceive an operation resulting in the death of Bin Laden as having a happy ending!). The only thing I’ve come up with is the recovery of Private Bowe Bergdahl, the only US serviceman being held captive by the Taliban, but I doubt there are many people in the US that even know he’s being held.

Regardless, would Bergdahl’s recovery generate sufficient excitement and esprit de corps’ among the undecided electorate to enhance Obama’s sorry excuse as a Commander-in-Chief? Anybody have any other ideas?

The podcast of Bryan’s show is available here (show date is 9/22). The segment I’m referring to starts at around 31:00 minutes.

UPDATED 21020924 05:45 – A friend suggested I put up the audio of Bryan Suits’ podcast where he discusses this issue, so here it is!

  Bryan_Suits_20120922_30-35.mp3

 

 

[Note: I haven't been able to get the MP3 player plugin working, so for the time being, right click on the file name above and choose "Open Link in a New Tab" or "New Window" to launch the default player in your browser. Sorry!]

UPDATED 20121012 14:30 – Keep an ear and eye open on either late the 14th or first thing the 15th of Oct … Sunday evening or Monday morning for this event, whatever it is, to be announced. This is when moon will be at its lowest luminance (New Moon – October 15, 12:02 AM) prior to Nov 6.

This is the time that Special Forces prefer to execute their missions, as they have the technological advantage on everyone else to be able to “see” in the dark. The Bin Laden raid was done under the New Moon in May, 2011.

Romney’s Losing … No , He’s Winning … No, He’s Losing

I can understand why it is that people who depend on ABC or NBC or CBS or such wonder what is going on with the bouncing presidential race polling, if they’re even into wondering anything about presidential politics yet. But to have folks that are Republicans or professed conservatives and get their news from talk radio, right-leaning webs sites or Fox News, what are you doing?

A good deal of the political polling being passed off today as scientific is anything but. Publishing a poll that over-samples Democrats (the most prevalent type of polling perversion) by 13% isn’t seriously attempting to inform the voters of where American sentiment lies at any point in time; it’s purpose is propaganda. Such a poll has no purpose other than to discourage the opposition’s voters from voting … period.

Another polling issue informed voters must be aware of is who exactly is being counted in these “scientific” polls. The most common form of polling is to ask questions of anyone who answers the phone and is willing to be questioned. Such polls result in the least informed output, as the respondent isn’t qualified (in terms of what experience they base their responses on) by the pollster.

People answering political polls are then further qualified as adults, registered to vote (or not) and the poll providing the highest quality of results, likely voters. So, when looking at a poll, note who it is that is being polled.

Polling firms have different methodologies of determining the likelihood a respondent is to qualify as a likely voter. Regardless, at this point we’re picking fly poop of of the pepper by trying to determine the best method for choosing “likely” voters.

So don’t let a pollster be the source of your discouragement.

There is one further issue about polling that has confounded even the most honest pollster for a few decades. That is something referred to as either the Bradley Effect or the Wilder Effect, describing wild swings in actual election results from the polling immediately preceding the election. Both Bradley and Wilder were running for Governor (California and Virginia, respectively) and the theory was postulated that the large difference between the final polling and actual results was because some voters wanted to be seen as hip by telling pollsters they were “voting for the black guy” and then in the privacy of the voting booth, voted the other way.

Many “experts” have declared the Bradley Effect dead, partly as a result of society becoming more sophisticated about race and most recently, as a result of Barack Obama’s election to the presidency.

I say bunk! The Democrats and their media partners have so over-pushed the notion that anyone who doesn’t agree with Obama has to be a racist that a great many regular, every-day Americans are fearful to even casually mention to fellow workers that they are thinking of not voting for Obama.

As no one I work with has any doubt as to my political bent, I’ve even had people confide to me that they haven’t even let their fellow workers know they didn’t vote for Obama in 2008 for fear of being tagged a racist. Chris Matthews, Rachael Maddow, and their cohorts carp night after night that anyone who won’t vote for Obama has to be a racist … clearly there is no other reasonable answer.

Even Obama plays along with this canard, never correcting anyone espousing such notions.

So how do you think many people are going to respond to a pollster when asked who they support for president? “I’m not going to be saddled as a racist, by golly!” This even applies to those polled through automated polling. “Who really believes that in today’s technology world that my responses will remain anonymous?

So we are going to continue to see polls showing Obama and Romney neck and neck, both because of skewered polling and people being cagy with pollsters … until the final week. Then we should start to see Romney gaining a slight lead, as the polling firms know that the only polls that count for the record (and their livelihood come next election season) are the polls right before the election.

Nothing has changed since the 2010 elections to dissuade conservatives, Republicans, Tea Party adherents, and all those independents who are against Obamacare from wanting to change leadership in Washington. If anything, those same sentiments have only grown stronger as a result of the Walker wins in Wisconsin and the Supreme Court ruling against liberty on Obamacare.

So why in the world would we expect Obama to be doing so well now? Even more so with the economy still in the dumps and now the Middle East in flames and Obama fiddles.

Oh … and the last thing to watch for is the exit polling results. Do you really think someone who was cautious when answering an automated poll is going to tell an actual human pollster that “he didn’t vote for the black guy?”

Remember that on election night when both of Chris Matthews legs begin wildly twitching before the actual results of Romney’s six point win are announced.

Foreign Policy Clusterf…

This past week has been a clusterf**k for our Most Intelligent President Ever. It began with the mobs in Cairo over-running our embassy, destroying the US flag and replacing it with a black Al Qaeda emblem, followed by the attack and sacking of the US Consulate in Benghazi, Libya and the killing of a US Ambassador and three others.

… and things went downhill from there.

The US Embassy’s insistence on apologizing for some US citizen having the audacity to exercise his 1st Amendment rights is un-American to say the least … and their first apology occurred before anyone even approached the embassy. However, this sort of behavior is nothing we’ve not experienced before from a Foreign Service officer in the US State Department. The events that occurred in Benghazi however, are a different matter.

The killing of Ambassador Chris Stevens in what appears to be a coordinated attack raises the entire week’s events to a far more serious level, setting aside President Obama’s campaign and fund raising trip to Las Vegas before Stevens body is even cold. Where is the US headed now?

Our foreign policy fate was pretty much sealed last year following the “Arab Spring” uprisings in Tunis, Egypt and other Arab countries. The starry-eyed novices running our State Department and a great deal of our national security apparatus conflate “democracy” with “good.” Germany in 1933 was a democracy and the citizens of that fine country democratically elected Adolf Hitler as their leader.

If you have a country full of crazies, what are the chances they will choose a crazy to lead them? Egypt, besides being the most populated Arab country, has been trending more and more Islamist over the last few decades. During that time the US has blithe-fully ignored the “religious nutcases” and acted as if that ever-so western-acting Anwar Sadat were still running things. Now Egypt’s President is Mohammad Morsi … you know … Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood …. yea, THAT Morsi.

President Obama was quick to invite Morsi to the US following his election. However, Morsi first had to make calls on Beijing and then Tehran; priorities, don’t you know! Were you also aware that not only do we sell Egypt much of our latest military hardware and weapons systems, they have been the greatest offenders of our rules against allowing those same weapons systems to fall into the hands of our enemies (read China/Russia). This has been going on for years, so Morsi isn’t to blame for this slap in the face.

Also last week Obama refused a meeting request from Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s Prime Minister. Israel is likely to initiate a strike against Iran’s nuclear weapons program, and possibly before the November 6th US Presidential elections. Obama has expressed his concern over Israel’s lack of tolerance (he’s against such a strike at any time), but he especially doesn’t want any type of hostility prior to the election.

All of these events are very serious and the response from our “leaders” has truly been Carteresque. We have lost Egypt as an ally. The Muslim Brotherhood has effectively taken control of the country and is in the process of converting it into the primary building block of their long wished-for Caliphate. 70 of the top generals who controlled the Egyptian military left, retiring to plush villas in Europe and elsewhere (Field Marshal Mohammed Tantawi happens to own a house in Southern California).

So where does this leave Israel? In all likelihood, Israel will launch an attack against Iran’s nuclear weapons program soon. The United States’ lackluster sanctions against Iran have proven ineffective at best, which has allowed Iran to continue their refining of nuclear weapons-grade uranium.

Sure, the Iranians were slowed down by the Stux-net virus, but while they may be crazy … they aren’t stupid. They’ve hardened their security and have made significant progress. Where they are in the process is what matters, and due to the ineptitude of the CIA and others in our intelligence services, we have no idea of how far along they are. But I bet the Israelis know, or have a very good idea.

When Israel does attack, they are going to be under a great deal of pressure from the rest of the world, but their biggest concern is Hezbollah to the north and Hamas to the south. Both have been stockpiling weapons, primarily rockets, for the moment Israel strikes Iran. Now however, they have 1,110 A1M1 Abrams tanks and over 500 airplanes (of which 70 plus are F-16 Fighters) from Egypt to worry about.

Egypt’s Morsi told his followers during his presidential campaign he would make Al-Quds (the name Islamist use for Jerusalem) the capital of Egypt. He of course only said this in Arabic, not wishing to upset the sensibilities of his Western “friends.” Most adult military analysts believe that since the Muslim Brotherhood has assumed control of Egypt, the treaty between Israel and Egypt signed by Anwar Sadat and Menachem Begin in 1979 isn’t worth the paper it was written on.

So sometime in the next few weeks or months, we are likely to have an all-out war in the middle east … again. Only this time the stakes will be much higher and if it happens before the election, what will Obama do?

Punt (act as if nothing is happening and continue as the Campaigner-in-Chief)?

Become Rambo (try to prove that his killing of Bin-Laden wasn’t just a fluke [no pun about Sandra intended])?

We shall see, but if Obama doesn’t handle it any better than he has during the past week, heaven help us. Oh, by the way, we may want to rethink that $1 Trillion military budget cut … just sayin’

Euro is Toast

Speigle Online posted an article yesterday titled Investors Prepare for Euro Collapse. The article summary states:

Banks, companies and investors are preparing themselves for a collapse of the euro. Cross-border bank lending is falling, asset managers are shunning Europe and money is flowing into German real estate and bonds. The euro remains stable against the dollar because America has debt problems too. But unlike the euro, the dollar’s structure isn’t in doubt.

The article goes on to describe growing resentment in both borrowing (PIIGS – Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, Spain) and lender (pretty much Germany) nations. Further, it seems someone in Germany has challenged the authority of Germany’s constitution to accommodate the European Stability Mechanism (EMS), a new agreement that is meant to try yet again to stave off the collapse of the Euro.

Anyone who has even the most minimal understanding of what has been happening within the European financial markets over the past year and a basic understanding of human nature could tell you the Euro doesn’t have a chance of succeeding.

Germans are renown for, and proud of, their reputation as an efficient, hard working society, frugal but not cheapskates. They are the epitome of the ant in Aesop’s fable, the Ant and the Grasshopper. Greece plays the role of the Grasshopper, except they haven’t yet learned the lesson of the tale (but then the fable doesn’t say what ultimately happened to the grasshopper).

The German populace are becoming more and more resistant of their leaders loaning their hard-earned money to what they perceive as a bunch of sloths. Furthermore, Germany is about the only European Union member with an economy capable of lending out the amounts needed to keep the PIIGS afloat … for a while.

Side note: should France, the only other European Union country with a sizable enough economy, continue down the path they seem to have chosen, we’ll need a new acronym for the countries that prefer to keep their head in the sand rather than address their prolific socialist spending.

Borrowing is not the solution to the PIIGS’ problem, no more than it’s the solution to the economic fiasco we have allowed Washington to foist on us here in the United States. One of the reasons the PIIGS cannot continue to borrow is they are unwilling to adopt the measures necessary for them to actually repay the loans. They remain in denial of their profligate spending and therefore resentful of requirements that they adopt “austerity measures” (code for STOP SPENDING!).

Borrowers don’t really like those they owe money to. When did you last say “… oh look, a new bill from those nice folks at Master Card!?” And this isn’t a feeling that arrived with the advent of credit cards. (See Proverbs 22:7 – “The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.”)

Based on the circumstances in Europe now and into the foreseeable future, there is very little chance the Euro will survive. Germans will not continue laboring to give their Euros to people who believe they are entitled to good paying government jobs, four weeks vacation a year and retirement at age 52. Greeks, Italians and Spaniards don’t believe they should give up their lifestyles just because they and their governments have spent themselves into poverty.

I’ve heard for years that our markets build into their price events such as what is going on in Europe. Let’s just say I’m skeptical of this conventional wisdom. The market is still made up of people, and they still have a tendency to act all to human.

Exit question: what will the failure of the Euro do to the US economy? The United States is teetering on the brink of another recession. Would the Euro’s collapse push it over? If we do enter into another recession we won’t know it until after the November elections.

All sorts of scenarios begin swirling in the mind!

VP Ryan

As everyone knows by now, Mitt Romney chose Congressman Paul Ryan as his running-mate this morning. Comments have been positive to ecstatic from both the GOP and Tea Party sides. Democrats, on the other hand have espoused tried and true slams on Ryan, with nothing really new for the undecideds to chew on.

Up until the announcement this morning, there were many on the Right saying they hoped Romney wouldn’t pick Ryan as he (Ryan) was too important in the House leadership. There have been some comments of that nature, but overall Romney’s selection has met with excitement, enthusiasm and well wishes.

I believe Romney served his campaign and the voters on the right and center well. Ryan was an important asset in the House, but this new position allows him to have even more influence which will help us all rid this country of the socialists and communists who’ve taken over.

Below is a great video of Paul Ryan at his best (h/t thelittlelephant).

Now THAT is how a real leader talks (and I loved the side glance Ryan gives DWS in the beginning of the clip).

Exit question: will Ryan give up his house seat and allow a new rising star the chance to help us turn this ship, America, around? Or will he stay on the WI ticket and allow a special election for his district seat should (when!) he takes his new seat at the head of the Senate?

What July 4th is Really About

This is a repost of something I posted on July 4, 2008.

Scott Johnson over at Powerline writes this morning on a July 4th, 1926 speech by President Calvin Coolidge on the 150th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence. I had not heard or read this speech (in fact, I’ve not read that much on Coolidge) before, but the paragraph Scott cites really grabbed me:

About the Declaration there is a finality that is exceedingly restful. It is often asserted that the world has made a great deal of progress since 1776, that we have had new thoughts and new experiences which have given us a great advance over the people of that day, and that we may therefore very well discard their conclusions for something more modern. But that reasoning can not be applied to this great charter. If all men are created equal, that is final. If they are endowed with inalienable rights, that is final. If governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed, that is final. No advance, no progress can be made beyond these propositions. If anyone wishes to deny their truth or their soundness, the only direction in which he can proceed historically is not forward, but backward toward the time when there was no equality, no rights of the individual, no rule of the people. Those who wish to proceed in that direction can not lay claim to progress. They are reactionary. Their ideas are not more modern, but more ancient, than those of the Revolutionary fathers.

The concept that there can be no progress beyond the ideals defined in the Declaration of Independence is at once extremely simple yet very profound … and correct! If we are equal, how can we become more equal? If we are endowed with inalienable rights, those rights can’t become more inalienable or be worth more today than they were 232 years ago.

In today’s world, Liberals don’t like to be referred to as liberals. They refer to themselves as “progressive.” Coolidge’s words put the “progressives’ rants in perspective; the ideas and ideals they propose can’t move us forward to more equality. Their agenda only takes away from our equality and freedoms, because they want equality of outcome, not equality of opportunity. You can’t have both.

To insure everyone ends up in the same place requires you to deny those with ambition, drive, vision … whatever it it that sets those who accomplish apart from those who just get by … the opportunity to become more . This insures that those who are not driven end up in the same place as those who would normally become leaders, rich, accomplished, etc. How can this be called progressive?

The Founders who created the Declaration of Independence, followed by the Constitution, were far more wise and visionary than the so called leaders we endure today.

Read Coolidge’s entire speech.It’s certainly woth your time. In the meanwhile, here’s what today is really about.

Jake the Cub Scout

United States Constitution, V2.0

On Thursday, June 28, 2012 Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts officially unveiled Version 2.0 of the United States Constitution, which up to this point has been referred to as “The Living Constitution.” His writings in the Obamacare case (Affordable Care Act) were jumbled, unclear and in certain places contradictory, but more importantly, they completely change the relationship between the United States’ government and its citizens.

In a 5-4 ruling, Roberts, writing for the majority (Roberts joining the 4 Liberal Stooges), basically ruled the prescribed “penalty” in Obamacare wasn’t really a penalty but a tax. In his opinion, Congress could impose taxes and therefore changing the law’s definition of the penalty for not buying health insurance to a tax fixes everything. But … there are a number of problems with his reasoning that even to a lay person make no sense, which I’ll discuss in a moment.

First and unlike many pundits in the MSM and the blogosphere, I will not attempt to psychoanalyze Roberts’ motives, as those are unknowable sans feedback from Roberts himself. However, I do believe he is an honorable man and whatever his intentions, I give him the benefit of doubt that his motives were honorable (as I do for every Justice on the Court). Now … that and $1.85 will get you a grande Starbucks coffee.

Second, not having a law degree nor any but the smallest amount of legal training, I will rely on people who do have the requisite background and as importantly, whom I trust, to navigate the legal and judicial waters. Those include Mark Levin, John Yoo, John Eastman and Richard Epstein. I am aware the aforementioned scholars are all from the Right, but that’s partially why I trust them. Legal scholars on the Left seem to be more outcome focused; the end justifies the means.

The Supreme Court of the United States was created by our Founders within the Constitution under Article III as the third branch of the Federal Government. It was left to Congress to decide how many Justices would make up the Court. Simply speaking, it is the Supreme Court’s job to determine the constitutionality of laws or regulations passed down by either the Legislative or Executive branches of the Federal government when challenged.

In the case of Obamacare, 26 States, the National Federation of Independent Business and others sued the Federal government to block implementation of Obamacare, claiming among other things that the mandate requiring every American to purchase a government specified health insurance policy or face penalties was unconstitutional. The law, passed in Congress by Democrats only, relied on the Commerce Clause for its constitutional basis.

Roberts, writing for the majority, twisted himself into a pretzel in order to create the fiction that by calling the penalty a tax, the entire law can be allowed to stand. Richard Epstein writes in Defining Ideas:

The Mandate: A Penalty or Tax?

The Chief Justice looks more like a batter seeking to execute a suicide squeeze than an umpire calling balls and strikes. At this point, labels no longer matter. What matters is whether Congress imposed a tax or imposed a penalty. In answering that question, the Chief Justice ignores the wide range of institutional safeguards that are required before taxes could be imposed.

The Obama administration went out of its way to say that it did not plan to impose any taxes, in part because of its no-new taxes pledge, and in part to get a favorable route for the Act through the Congress. That route did not lie through the House of Representatives, where all tax measures must originate. These procedural steps are part of the structural Constitution. Umpires usually try to use consistent definitions because otherwise they are well aware that there is a risk in equivocation: The political actor, meanwhile, can first pick this and then that definition to suit his convenience.

But it gets worse. The basic theory of taxation is that we are all in it together. The point here is that the taxes are generally imposed to create some form of public good, to which all citizens should be required to contribute. We have, unfortunately, relaxed that notion of taxation so that transfer payments from A to B fall within a tortured definition of what counts as the “general welfare of the United States,” where the last four words are constantly ignored today. But a second constraint still remains—namely, that the taxes come from all segments of the population.

The moment we allow a tax targeted just on those people who wish to opt out of the mandate on the ground that they get a raw deal from the government, the power of selective abuse is increased, thereby allowing a majority of the population to impose a so-called tax on whatever subgroup of the population it wishes to tax for the benefit of another. Put otherwise, it is not easy to think of any traditional tax or credit that hits only those who don’t buy healthcare insurance on their own accounts. The extra flexibility is one unfortunate way in which the Chief Justice as statesman clashes with the Chief Justice as umpire.

Related, Epstein and Jon Yoo appeared on the weekly Ricochet podcast last Thursday and they are well worth a listen. Ricochet.com also released the bi-weekly Law Talk podcast with Epstein and Yoo, hosted by Troy Senik. This is a subscriber only podcast, but is worth the price of the subscription alone … never mind the other podcasts and interaction.

The Obamacare decision creates an entirely new, and now constitutional way for the government to impose taxes for any purpose they deem “Necessary and Proper.” In reply, FL Rep Allen West on June 29 sarcastically said:

Legal precedent has been established so that the federal government can say based upon their own ideological agenda of health care that the American individual citizen must purchase a private sector commodity and if they don’t they will be taxed.

So if I were to go out and say that every person in the United States of America needs to go out and buy a 9mm Glock or else they will be taxed, I wonder how the people such as Nancy Pelosi on the other side of the aisle would react to that.

But that really is the precedent that has been established.

The ruling doesn’t just apply to healthcare; from now on anything can be “taxed” if enough legislators can be convinced that it is in the best interest of “society” to do so. I’ve heard pundits proclaim “taxes are so unpopular no one would propose creating a tax as a penalty for not buying something.” Who would have ever believed Americans would be fighting against national healthcare?

You also may have heard some people trying to find the pony in this pile of manure say “at least the Commerce Clause can no longer be used to coerce us into buying something we don’t want.” Not so fast Kemo sabe.

Mark Levin posted a piece on his Facebook page on the 29th clarifying the writings of both Roberts and Justices Kennedy, Thomas, Alito and Scalia (in the dissent):

When a court issues an opinion, it is said to be the “Opinion of the Court.”  The Opinion of the Court is the controlling precedent.  Chief Justice Roberts wrote the Opinion of the Court for Parts I (background on the Obamacare law), II (the Anti-Injunction Act is not a bar to the lawsuit proceeding and being decided) and III-C (Obamacare is valid under the tax power).

But respecting Parts III- A, the commerce clause and necessary and proper section,  Roberts is writing for himself, not for a majority.

Furthermore, the Dissent is labeled as: “Justice Scalia, Justice Kennedy, Justice Thomas, and Justice Alito, dissenting.” It is Not labeled as “dissenting in the judgment, concurring in part” or some permutation.

You can’t say it was the “opinion of the court” that the mandate violated the commerce clause. You have to cobble together sections where Roberts is writing for himself and the dissent (which isn’t formally joined Robert’s writing), is writing for itself.

So not only does Congress have a brand spanking new taxing power, they still have the old fall-back, the Commerce Clause!

If we conservatives have any hope of returning the United States to the Democratic Republic envisioned and formed 236 years ago, we have a lot of work ahead.

July 4th is only a couple of days from now. Hillsdale College has promoted a “Read the Declaration” campaign whereby sometime during your celebration next Wednesday, you read aloud the Declaration of Independence, as was done on the very first Independence Day in 1776.

We should make this a tradition for all future Independence Days. And then we go to work for the next 128 days like we’ve never worked before to:

  • defeat Obama,
  • replace at least 14 Democrat Senators with conservative GOP Senators,
  • add a few new conservative GOP Representatives to the House,
  • make it very clear to all current GOP congressmen and Senators we will book NO irresolution or wavering in our goal of restoration of our Republic,
  • make it very clear to Mitt Romney that it is his job to lead us in restoring our government to one that respects the individual and the rule of law and
  • help Romney restore integrity to the office of the President

We can rest for a couple of weeks at the end of December before getting back to work. We must NEVER let our Liberties be taken by statists again … EVER!

May God Bless America.

Memorial Day 2012 … How Many More?

Monday, May 28 is America’s 144th Memorial Day, first observed on May 5, 1868 under General Order Number 11 by the Grand Army of the Republic, an organization of Union veterans. Originally called Decoration Day, the observance was

for the purpose of strewing with flowers or otherwise decorating the graves of comrades, who died in defense, of their country during the late rebellion, and whose bodies now lie in almost every City, Village, and hamlet, church yard in the land. In this observance no form of ceremony is prescribed, but Posts and comrades will in their own way arrange such fitting services and testimonials of respect as circumstances may permit.

Each generation since has added their own tradition to what has become, by some Americans, a solemn day of remembrance of those who gave their lives to protect America. To others, Memorial Day marks the beginning of summer, the first back yard barbeque of the year, a holiday from work and a cheap way to get a full weeks vacation for only four days deducted from the accumulated vacation bank.

Frankly, the attacks on 9/11/2001 and our subsequent response, primarily in Afghanistan and Iraq, brought a resurgence in the number of Americans who observe Memorial Day. An aside, its causes my blood to boil when someone asks if I plan on “celebrating” Memorial Day!

In the years following the end of the Vietnam War, I  would sometimes be the only one visiting the grave of my very best childhood friend, Martin Guard, killed at the age of 22 during the Tet offensive in Hue early February 1968.

How is it that today more Americans observe Memorial Day, yet a smaller and smaller proportion of our population serves in the military? I suspect it is partially due to fewer Americans believing in a war that didn’t seem to have anything to due with America’s security, compared to responding to the most costly attack in history on American soil. However, the differences pretty much end there.

In 1970 there were almost 3.1 million people in uniform in the US military. In addition to those serving in Vietnam, America still maintained large forces in Europe (primarily Germany and Great Britain), Japan and Korea. Further, the draft was still in place, requiring many young men to serve who would rather do something else after getting out of high school. Martin was a draftee. With a population of 203.4 million, most people in America knew someone in or formally in the military.

Today, the military comprises just over one million people. With a current population of around 315 million, that’s just 0.3% of our citizens serving in our military! Today’s all voluntary force serves longer enlistments than their counterparts did in the Vietnam era, partly due to a commitment to one’s country and one’s fellow soldiers and partly due to the terrible US economy. However, planned cuts in the military’s budget over the next months and years will force some to leave earlier than planned.

Fewer and fewer Americans are joining the military and today the majority of Americans don’t personally know anyone who is or was recently in one of the branches of our military.

So how long will America continue to observe Memorial Day for something other than a reason for another three day holiday? Well, the answer in some ways will depend on the outcome of the election in November. That election will set the direction for many aspects of our culture and our national identity.

Elect Obama and we are likely to take on the personality of France or Germany, more interested in how many weeks vacation we have a right to each year, or how soon before we can retire. Elect Romney and we may have a chance to regain our sense of freedom to achieve ours and our children’s dreams. Just may!

Elect Obama and you will likely be one of the last generations of Americans to observe Memorial Day.

UPDATE 20120526 12:00: I ran across the video below of President Reagan’s June 6, 1984 speech at the Ceremony Commemorating the 40th Anniversary of the Normandy Invasion, D-day, at Point-du-Hoc and thought it an appropriate end to this post:

 

Speedway Bomber Brett Kimberlin, Now a Legal Terrorist?

Many people in this country may not have been aware of the Speedway Bomber, Brett Kimberlin, back when he was terrorizing the communities around Indianapolis IN. I know I wasn’t until recently.

In 1978 Kimberlin set off eight bombs in Speedway, Indiana over the course of several days.

One blew up a police car. Another blew the right leg off of a Vietnam veteran named Carl DeLong. DeLong’s left leg was also severely injured, and two of his fingers were blown off and then reattached. DeLong carried shrapnel in his body, causing him constant pain . . . which apparently became too much for him. DeLong committed suicide in 1983by sitting in his van in his garage with the engine running.

Kimberlin was identified by store clerks who sold him bombmaking materials. A search of his car revealed timers similar to those used in the bombing, as well as traces of the explosive used. He was convicted of the bombings. He has never been exonerated by any court.

There’s much more he is both charged with and in many cases suspected of. Goggling (or binging?? in my case) “Speedway Bomber, Brett Kimberlin” results in 24,100 links.

Patterico has the dubious honor of being the partial brunt of Kimberlin’s special form of legal terrorism, along with Aaron Walker, Liberty Chick, and Stacy McCain. Each have written extensively about Brett Kimberlin’s criminal and prison record and subsequently about his connections to violent political action. Each has in turn come under Kimberlin’s special brand of terrorism; legal terrorism.

Not that all he dose is legal. Some of his actions are quite illegal … were he to be caught performing these acts. Swatting … the act of hacking someones cell phone number, calling 911 and claiming to have just killed someone, then quickly hanging up … is very illegal. But it’s very difficult to locate the perpetrator after the police have shown up at your home with guns drawn and fully expecting to find one or more dead bodies. This happened to Patterico, who by the way is an L.A. County prosecutor.

But Kimberlin is also using the law to harass his victims. The following is from a web site run by Kimberlin and his merry band of conspirators:

Breaking news, Aaron Justin Walker Attorney at Law failed to show up for his peace order court hearing this morning in a Maryland courthouse. Instead of showing up and making his case, I guess he decided that he has no case and just avoided the court altogether. Well, he lost the first round this morning and a new Peace order has been issued against him. Sources close to the case claim that the Judge was incredulous that Mr.Walker was before him again on a new Peace Order case filed by the same person who filed the last one. According to sources, the Judge in the case was not impressed with Mr. Walker’s continued harassment of Mr. Brett Kimberlin on Twitter and Blogs. He ordered that Mr. Walker stay away from the plaintiff and not continue his online harassment activities. Of course Mr. Walker has gone over the edge in harassing Brett Kimberlin on Twitter and on his blog. So much so that I don’t believe any court order will stop him. He has become so deranged that I think he now wants to be jailed for contempt to gin up more media coverage on him so he can be seen as this lonely blogger placed in jail over liberals violating his rights to free speech. The last guy that tried that in this case was Seth Allen, he also tried the exact same thing. He literally begged the court to jail him while trying to gin up press coverage on him. But sadly no press were in attendance because no one cared about him. At any rate, Mr. Walker failed to show up this morning to state his case which he blogged about last night. So the next step is for criminal harassment charges to be laid the minute he violates the Peace Order issued this morning in a Maryland court. I am sure that Mr. Walker cares not about the justice system these days, for he is on a vigilante crusade to destroy one man, and one way or the other Mr. Walker will attempt to get his vigilante justice, the courts be damned.

That’s right: In Maryland a thug can file a “Peace Order” against anyone that he feels is “harassing” him and the Maryland courts will go along with the scam! Legal terrorism!

So how does Kimberlin fund all these nefarious activities? Why, he’s supported by some of the most upstanding folks you know through his non-profit (yes, a legal 501-c(3) non-profit called Justice Through Music and politics (JTMP). His donors, including the Tides Foundation, Heinz Family Foundation, Fidelity Investments Charitable Gift, Barbra Streisand Foundation, Schwab Charitable Fund and others over the last several years, have allowed this miscreant to continue his reign of terror.

Liberty Chick has what is probably the most concise and complete story on Brett Kimberlin here. Please familiarize yourself with this convict … it’s him and those like him that are the real enemies living amongst us.

I stand with those who’ve felt the wrath of convicted terrorist and bomber Brett Kimberlin and his cohorts.