This past week has been a clusterf**k for our Most Intelligent President Ever™. It began with the mobs in Cairo over-running our embassy, destroying the US flag and replacing it with a black Al Qaeda emblem, followed by the attack and sacking of the US Consulate in Benghazi, Libya and the killing of a US Ambassador and three others.
… and things went downhill from there.
The US Embassy’s insistence on apologizing for some US citizen having the audacity to exercise his 1st Amendment rights is un-American to say the least … and their first apology occurred before anyone even approached the embassy. However, this sort of behavior is nothing we’ve not experienced before from a Foreign Service officer in the US State Department. The events that occurred in Benghazi however, are a different matter.
The killing of Ambassador Chris Stevens in what appears to be a coordinated attack raises the entire week’s events to a far more serious level, setting aside President Obama’s campaign and fund raising trip to Las Vegas before Stevens body is even cold. Where is the US headed now?
Our foreign policy fate was pretty much sealed last year following the “Arab Spring” uprisings in Tunis, Egypt and other Arab countries. The starry-eyed novices running our State Department and a great deal of our national security apparatus conflate “democracy” with “good.” Germany in 1933 was a democracy and the citizens of that fine country democratically elected Adolf Hitler as their leader.
If you have a country full of crazies, what are the chances they will choose a crazy to lead them? Egypt, besides being the most populated Arab country, has been trending more and more Islamist over the last few decades. During that time the US has blithe-fully ignored the “religious nutcases” and acted as if that ever-so western-acting Anwar Sadat were still running things. Now Egypt’s President is Mohammad Morsi … you know … Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood …. yea, THAT Morsi.
President Obama was quick to invite Morsi to the US following his election. However, Morsi first had to make calls on Beijing and then Tehran; priorities, don’t you know! Were you also aware that not only do we sell Egypt much of our latest military hardware and weapons systems, they have been the greatest offenders of our rules against allowing those same weapons systems to fall into the hands of our enemies (read China/Russia). This has been going on for years, so Morsi isn’t to blame for this slap in the face.
Also last week Obama refused a meeting request from Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s Prime Minister. Israel is likely to initiate a strike against Iran’s nuclear weapons program, and possibly before the November 6th US Presidential elections. Obama has expressed his concern over Israel’s lack of tolerance (he’s against such a strike at any time), but he especially doesn’t want any type of hostility prior to the election.
All of these events are very serious and the response from our “leaders” has truly been Carteresque. We have lost Egypt as an ally. The Muslim Brotherhood has effectively taken control of the country and is in the process of converting it into the primary building block of their long wished-for Caliphate. 70 of the top generals who controlled the Egyptian military left, retiring to plush villas in Europe and elsewhere (Field Marshal Mohammed Tantawi happens to own a house in Southern California).
So where does this leave Israel? In all likelihood, Israel will launch an attack against Iran’s nuclear weapons program soon. The United States’ lackluster sanctions against Iran have proven ineffective at best, which has allowed Iran to continue their refining of nuclear weapons-grade uranium.
Sure, the Iranians were slowed down by the Stux-net virus, but while they may be crazy … they aren’t stupid. They’ve hardened their security and have made significant progress. Where they are in the process is what matters, and due to the ineptitude of the CIA and others in our intelligence services, we have no idea of how far along they are. But I bet the Israelis know, or have a very good idea.
When Israel does attack, they are going to be under a great deal of pressure from the rest of the world, but their biggest concern is Hezbollah to the north and Hamas to the south. Both have been stockpiling weapons, primarily rockets, for the moment Israel strikes Iran. Now however, they have 1,110 A1M1 Abrams tanks and over 500 airplanes (of which 70 plus are F-16 Fighters) from Egypt to worry about.
Egypt’s Morsi told his followers during his presidential campaign he would make Al-Quds (the name Islamist use for Jerusalem) the capital of Egypt. He of course only said this in Arabic, not wishing to upset the sensibilities of his Western “friends.” Most adult military analysts believe that since the Muslim Brotherhood has assumed control of Egypt, the treaty between Israel and Egypt signed by Anwar Sadat and Menachem Begin in 1979 isn’t worth the paper it was written on.
So sometime in the next few weeks or months, we are likely to have an all-out war in the middle east … again. Only this time the stakes will be much higher and if it happens before the election, what will Obama do?
Punt (act as if nothing is happening and continue as the Campaigner-in-Chief)?
Become Rambo (try to prove that his killing of Bin-Laden wasn’t just a fluke [no pun about Sandra intended])?
We shall see, but if Obama doesn’t handle it any better than he has during the past week, heaven help us. Oh, by the way, we may want to rethink that $1 Trillion military budget cut … just sayin’